Unit 49 buck pronghorn, 1st rifle season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
568 adult residents put this hunt first; 13 drew (2.3%). Drawn out at 14 preference points: 6 of 10 applicants with 14 drew. 80% of applicants with more points drew. 3 drew below the cutoff, through the hybrid random draw (about 1.0% of eligible applicants with 5+ points).
Drawn out at 14 points
50 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 3 drew (6.0%). Drawn out at 18 preference points: 3 of 3 applicants with 18 drew.
Drawn out at 18 points
Compare every Colorado pronghorn hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 in 2.0 | |
| 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 14 | 10 | 6 | 1 in 1.7 | |
| 13 | 16 | 0 | — | |
| 12 | 20 | 0 | — | |
| 11 | 19 | 1 | 1 in 19.0 | |
| 10 | 18 | 0 | — | |
| 9 | 28 | 0 | — | |
| 8 | 51 | 0 | — | |
| 7 | 42 | 1 | 1 in 42.0 | |
| 6 | 57 | 1 | 1 in 57.0 | |
| 5 | 46 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 46 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 52 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 44 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 53 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 61 | 0 | — | |
| All | 568 | 13 | 1 in 43.7 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 3 | 3 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 13 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 12 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 11 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 10 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 9 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 8 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 7 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 6 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 5 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 5 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 7 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 12 | 0 | — | |
| All | 50 | 3 | 1 in 16.7 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 597 | 21 | 1 in 28.4 | 12 |
| 2025 | 616 | 14 | 1 in 44.0 | 13 |
| 2026 | 568 | 13 | 1 in 43.7 | 14 |
Drawn out at: 12 in 2024, 13 in 2025, 14 in 2026. The bar is rising at least one point a year, as fast as applicants earn points.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30 | 0 | — | — |
| 2025 | 38 | 2 | 1 in 19.0 | 20 |
| 2026 | 50 | 3 | 1 in 16.7 | 18 |
Drawn out at: 20 in 2025, 18 in 2026. The bar has been falling. Applicants rose 67% since 2024.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. This hunt also has a hybrid draw: up to 20% of licenses go at random to applicants with 5 or more points who fall below the cutoff. Nonresidents could get at most 20% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 49
- Buck pronghorn, archery season AM049O1A · 97 applicants
- Buck pronghorn, muzzleloader season AM049O1M · 46 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, archery season AF049O1A · 5 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, muzzleloader season AF049O1M · 17 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, 1st rifle season AF049O1R · 102 applicants
- Buck deer, muzzleloader season DM049O1M · 232 applicants
- Buck deer, 2nd rifle season DM049O2R · 1,410 applicants
- Buck deer, 3rd rifle season DM049O3R · 1,326 applicants
- Doe deer, muzzleloader season DF049O1M · 63 applicants
- Doe deer, 2nd rifle season DF049O2R · 127 applicants
- Doe deer, 3rd rifle season DF049O3R · 92 applicants
- Doe deer, private land only, season 2, rifle DF049P2R · 9 applicants