Unit 49 buck pronghorn, muzzleloader season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
46 adult residents put this hunt first; 7 drew (15%). Drawn out at 7 preference points: 3 of 9 applicants with 7 drew.
Drawn out at 7 points
3 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 1 drew (33%). Drawn out at 7 preference points: 1 of 1 applicants with 7 drew.
Drawn out at 7 points
Compare every Colorado pronghorn hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 1 in 3.0 | |
| 6 | 6 | 0 | — | |
| 5 | 5 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 5 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 5 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 5 | 0 | — | |
| All | 46 | 7 | 1 in 6.6 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 6 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| All | 3 | 1 | 1 in 3.0 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48 | 7 | 1 in 6.9 | 6 |
| 2025 | 56 | 8 | 1 in 7.0 | 7 |
| 2026 | 46 | 7 | 1 in 6.6 | 7 |
Drawn out at: 6 in 2024, 7 in 2025, 7 in 2026. If that trend holds, expect about 8 points to be needed in 2027.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4 | 1 | 1 in 4.0 | 6 |
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| 2026 | 3 | 1 | 1 in 3.0 | 7 |
Drawn out at: 6 in 2024, 7 in 2026. If that trend holds, expect about 8 points to be needed in 2027. Applicants fell 25% since 2024.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. Nonresidents could get at most 25% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 49
- Buck pronghorn, archery season AM049O1A · 97 applicants
- Buck pronghorn, 1st rifle season AM049O1R · 568 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, archery season AF049O1A · 5 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, muzzleloader season AF049O1M · 17 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, 1st rifle season AF049O1R · 102 applicants
- Buck deer, muzzleloader season DM049O1M · 232 applicants
- Buck deer, 2nd rifle season DM049O2R · 1,410 applicants
- Buck deer, 3rd rifle season DM049O3R · 1,326 applicants
- Doe deer, muzzleloader season DF049O1M · 63 applicants
- Doe deer, 2nd rifle season DF049O2R · 127 applicants
- Doe deer, 3rd rifle season DF049O3R · 92 applicants
- Doe deer, private land only, season 2, rifle DF049P2R · 9 applicants