Unit 18 buck pronghorn, private land only, season 5
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
24 adult residents put this hunt first; 24 drew (100%). Every first-choice applicant drew, and licenses were left for 2nd-choice applicants, so any point level was enough.
Any points drew
5 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 5 drew (100%). Drawn out at 5 preference points: 1 of 1 applicants with 5 drew. 4 drew below the cutoff, through the hybrid random draw.
Drawn out at 5 points
Compare every Colorado pronghorn hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 0 | 14 | 14 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| All | 24 | 24 | 1 in 1.0 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| All | 5 | 5 | 1 in 1.0 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | 20 | 1 in 1.0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 22 | 22 | 1 in 1.0 | 0 |
| 2026 | 24 | 24 | 1 in 1.0 | 0 |
Drawn out at: 0 in 2024, 0 in 2025, 0 in 2026. The bar has held steady at about 0 points. Applicants rose 20% since 2024.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5 | 5 | 1 in 1.0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 |
| 2026 | 5 | 5 | 1 in 1.0 | 5 |
Drawn out at: 0 in 2024, 0 in 2025, 5 in 2026. The bar is rising at least one point a year, as fast as applicants earn points.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 18
- Buck pronghorn, archery season AM018O1A · 34 applicants
- Buck pronghorn, muzzleloader season AM018O1M · 58 applicants
- Buck pronghorn, 1st rifle season AM018O1R · 320 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, muzzleloader season AF018O1M · 8 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, 1st rifle season AF018O1R · 159 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, private land only, season 5, rifle AF018P5R · 9 applicants
- Buck deer, muzzleloader season DM018O1M · 219 applicants
- Buck deer, 2nd rifle season DM018O2R · 558 applicants
- Buck deer, 3rd rifle season DM018O3R · 579 applicants
- Buck deer, 4th rifle season DM018O4R · 244 applicants
- Doe deer, muzzleloader season DF018O1M · 89 applicants
- Doe deer, 2nd rifle season DF018O2R · 232 applicants