Unit 18 buck pronghorn, 1st rifle season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
320 adult residents put this hunt first; 35 drew (11%). Drawn out at 5 preference points: 3 of 61 applicants with 5 drew. 94% of applicants with more points drew.
Drawn out at 5 points
20 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 5 drew (25%). Drawn out at 6 preference points: 2 of 2 applicants with 6 drew.
Drawn out at 6 points
Compare every Colorado pronghorn hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 in 2.0 | |
| 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 7 | 8 | 7 | 1 in 1.1 | |
| 6 | 20 | 20 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 5 | 61 | 3 | 1 in 20.3 | |
| 4 | 35 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 49 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 34 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 56 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 51 | 0 | — | |
| All | 320 | 35 | 1 in 9.1 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 5 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| All | 20 | 5 | 1 in 4.0 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 308 | 51 | 1 in 6.0 | 4 |
| 2025 | 327 | 35 | 1 in 9.3 | 5 |
| 2026 | 320 | 35 | 1 in 9.1 | 5 |
Drawn out at: 4 in 2024, 5 in 2025, 5 in 2026. If that trend holds, expect about 6 points to be needed in 2027.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 5 | 1 in 3.4 | 5 |
| 2025 | 31 | 12 | 1 in 2.6 | 5 |
| 2026 | 20 | 5 | 1 in 4.0 | 6 |
Drawn out at: 5 in 2024, 5 in 2025, 6 in 2026. If that trend holds, expect about 6 points to be needed in 2027. Applicants rose 18% since 2024.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. Nonresidents could get at most 25% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 18
- Buck pronghorn, archery season AM018O1A · 34 applicants
- Buck pronghorn, muzzleloader season AM018O1M · 58 applicants
- Buck pronghorn, private land only, season 5, rifle AM018P5R · 24 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, muzzleloader season AF018O1M · 8 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, 1st rifle season AF018O1R · 159 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, private land only, season 5, rifle AF018P5R · 9 applicants
- Buck deer, muzzleloader season DM018O1M · 219 applicants
- Buck deer, 2nd rifle season DM018O2R · 558 applicants
- Buck deer, 3rd rifle season DM018O3R · 579 applicants
- Buck deer, 4th rifle season DM018O4R · 244 applicants
- Doe deer, muzzleloader season DF018O1M · 89 applicants
- Doe deer, 2nd rifle season DF018O2R · 232 applicants