Unit 44 bull elk, muzzleloader season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
119 adult residents put this hunt first; 119 drew (100%). Drawn out at 0 preference points: 104 of 104 applicants with 0 drew.
Any points drew
153 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 120 drew (78%). Drawn out at 0 preference points: 25 of 52 applicants with 0 drew. 94% of applicants with more points drew.
Any points drew
Compare every Colorado elk hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 2 | 6 | 6 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 0 | 104 | 104 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| All | 119 | 119 | 1 in 1.0 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 in 1.3 | |
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 2 | 34 | 33 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 1 | 51 | 47 | 1 in 1.1 | |
| 0 | 52 | 25 | 1 in 2.1 | |
| All | 153 | 120 | 1 in 1.3 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 109 | 109 | 1 in 1.0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 152 | 148 | 1 in 1.0 | 0 |
| 2026 | 119 | 119 | 1 in 1.0 | 0 |
Drawn out at: 0 in 2024, 0 in 2025, 0 in 2026. The bar has held steady at about 0 points. Applicants rose 9% since 2024.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 127 | 79 | 1 in 1.6 | 0 |
| 2025 | 153 | 48 | 1 in 3.2 | 1 |
| 2026 | 153 | 120 | 1 in 1.3 | 0 |
Drawn out at: 0 in 2024, 1 in 2025, 0 in 2026. The bar has held steady at about 0 points. Applicants rose 20% since 2024.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. Nonresidents could get at most 25% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 44
- Bull elk, 1st rifle season EM044O1R · 215 applicants
- Bull elk, 4th rifle season EM044O4R · 18 applicants
- Cow elk, muzzleloader season EF044O1M · 48 applicants
- Cow elk, 1st rifle season EF044O1R · 130 applicants
- Cow elk, 2nd rifle season EF044O2R · 66 applicants
- Cow elk, 3rd rifle season EF044O3R · 44 applicants
- Cow elk, 4th rifle season EF044O4R · 16 applicants
- Either-sex elk, archery season EE044O1A · 357 applicants
- Buck deer, early season, rifle DM044E1R · 83 applicants
- Buck deer, muzzleloader season DM044O1M · 89 applicants
- Buck deer, 2nd rifle season DM044O2R · 255 applicants
- Buck deer, 3rd rifle season DM044O3R · 311 applicants