Elk Area 123 type 1: any elk
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
111 nonresidents put this hunt first in the regular draw for 11 licenses (9 by preference points, 2 at random). Everyone with 17 or more points drew. Everyone else had about a 2.0% chance in the random draw (2 licenses, 102 applicants).
Sure draw at 17 points
212 residents put this hunt first for 112 licenses. Residents draw at random with no points, so everyone's chance is about the same: an estimated 53%.
Random draw, no points
Compare every Wyoming elk hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Nonresidents
| Preference points (nonresident) | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 18 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 17 | 3 | 3 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| < 17 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 16 or fewer | 102 | 0 | — | |
| All | 111 | 11 | 1 in 10.1 |
Residents
| Choice | Applicants | Licenses | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| First choice | 212 | 112 | 53% |
| Second choice | 83 | ||
| Third choice | 69 |
Residents draw at random with no points. WGFD reports applicants but not how many residents drew, so the chance is licenses ÷ first-choice applicants, an estimate.
Nonresident special draw
The special draw is a separate application with higher-priced licenses (40% of the nonresident quota) and usually fewer applicants. 26 nonresidents put this hunt first in the special draw for 8 licenses (6 by preference points, 2 at random). Everyone with 11 or more points drew. Everyone else had about a 10% chance in the random draw (2 licenses, 20 applicants).
| Preference points (nonresident) | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| < 11 | 20 | 0 | — | |
| All | 26 | 8 | 1 in 3.3 |
WGFD hunt description: “ANY ELK” (as printed in the report, which cuts descriptions at 20 characters). Check the regulations for exact boundaries and dates.
Trends, 2025–2026
"Sure at" is the fewest preference points where every nonresident drew in the point draw that year (0 = any points drew).
| Year | Applicants | Licenses | Odds | Sure at |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30 | 15 | 1 in 2.0 | 6 |
| 2026 | 111 | 11 | 1 in 10.1 | 17 |
Points for a sure draw: 6 in 2025, 17 in 2026. The bar is rising at least one point a year, as fast as applicants earn points. Applicants rose 270% since 2025.
| Year | Applicants | Licenses | Odds | Sure at |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 163 | 110 | 1 in 1.5 | — |
| 2026 | 212 | 112 | 1 in 1.9 | — |
Applicants rose 30% since 2025.
How this draw works
Wyoming draws elk, deer and antelope licenses by preference points for nonresidents only. In each nonresident draw (regular and special), 75% of licenses go to the applicants with the most points, and the other 25% are drawn at random from everyone who missed, regardless of points. Parties use their average points, which is why some levels read "< N". Residents don't use points for these species: they're drawn at random. Points apply to your first choice; if you don't draw it, you gain a point. WGFD: Understanding the draw.
About the numbers. From WGFD's 2026 demand reports. The point-draw results are actual; the chance of drawing in the random draw is an estimate (random licenses ÷ applicants), and so is the resident chance. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Elk Area 123
- Antlerless elk, type 4 E123-4 · 18 applicants