HuntDrawOdds

Utah › Desert Bighorn Sheep › San Rafael, South › DS6610

San Rafael, South desert bighorn sheep, any legal weapon

Hunt DS66102025 draw results Utah report page 226✓ Rows match the report's totals

How many bonus points it took to draw this hunt in 2025, and your estimated chance at every point level.

Residents
789
applicants
10
permits
79
applicants per permit

789 residents applied for 10 permits (1 in 78.9 overall). Everyone with 27 or more points drew. At 26 points, 2 of 4 applicants drew bonus permits. The other 5 permits were drawn at random: an estimated <0.1% chance at 0 points, rising to 1.5% at 25 points.

Sure draw at 27+ points

Nonresidents
2,003
applicants
2
permits
1,002
applicants per permit

2,003 nonresidents applied for 2 permits (1 in 1,001.5 overall). At 32 points, 1 of 2 applicants drew bonus permits. The one remaining permit was drawn at random: an estimated <0.1% chance at 0 points, rising to 0.15% at 31 points.

No sure draw

Compare every desert bighorn sheep hunt at your point level →

Odds by bonus points

Residents

Bonus pointsApplicantsDrewActual oddsEstimated chance
27331 in 1.0
100%
26421 in 2.0
51%
251111 in 11.0
1.5%
2470—
1.5%
23160—
1.4%
22200—
1.3%
212321 in 11.5
1.3%
20180—
1.2%
19210—
1.2%
183121 in 15.5
1.1%
17340—
1.1%
16290—
1.00%
15260—
0.94%
14290—
0.88%
13250—
0.82%
12230—
0.76%
11230—
0.70%
10250—
0.64%
9320—
0.59%
8410—
0.53%
7340—
0.47%
6400—
0.41%
5320—
0.35%
4460—
0.29%
3400—
0.23%
2490—
0.18%
1510—
0.12%
0560—
<0.1%
All789101 in 78.9

Nonresidents

Bonus pointsApplicantsDrewActual oddsEstimated chance
32211 in 2.0
50%
3120—
0.15%
3090—
0.14%
2970—
0.14%
2880—
0.13%
2760—
0.13%
26120—
0.12%
25150—
0.12%
24330—
0.11%
23280—
0.11%
22310—
0.10%
21390—
<0.1%
20410—
<0.1%
19470—
<0.1%
18420—
<0.1%
17610—
<0.1%
161270—
<0.1%
15690—
<0.1%
14820—
<0.1%
137411 in 74.0
<0.1%
12890—
<0.1%
11720—
<0.1%
10810—
<0.1%
9840—
<0.1%
8970—
<0.1%
7910—
<0.1%
6830—
<0.1%
51000—
<0.1%
4780—
<0.1%
3810—
<0.1%
21240—
<0.1%
11390—
<0.1%
01490—
<0.1%
All2,00321 in 1,001.5
Drew through the bonus pool (everyone at this level)Random draw

Trends, 2023–2025

"Sure at" is the fewest bonus points where every applicant drew through the bonus pool that year.

Residents
YearApplicantsPermitsOddsSure at
2023792111 in 72.024
2024810111 in 73.626
2025789101 in 78.927

Points for a sure draw: 24 in 2023, 26 in 2024, 27 in 2025. The bar is rising at least one point a year, as fast as applicants earn points.

Nonresidents
YearApplicantsPermitsOddsSure at
20232,18011 in 2,180.0—
20242,12311 in 2,123.0—
20252,00321 in 1,001.5—

Applicants fell 8% since 2023.

How this draw works

Utah reserves half of each hunt's permits for the applicants with the most bonus points. The rest are drawn at random from everyone left, and each bonus point gives you one extra random number; your best number is the one used. Drawing a permit resets your points for that species to zero. Utah DWR's explanation.

About the estimated chance. Actual odds at a single point level jump around because only a few permits are drawn at random. The estimate applies the draw's own rules to this year's applicant pool. Across all 2025 Utah hunts, it predicts the number of permits drawn at each point range to within about 1%. Applicant numbers change every year, so treat it as a guide. How we check and estimate.