HuntDrawOdds

Utah › Deer › San Juan, Elk Ridge › DB1046

San Juan, Elk Ridge multi-season limited-entry buck deer, any legal weapon

Hunt DB10462025 draw results Utah report page 59✓ Rows match the report's totals

How many bonus points it took to draw this hunt in 2025, and your estimated chance at every point level.

Residents
105
applicants
2
permits
52
applicants per permit

105 residents applied for 2 permits (1 in 52.5 overall). Everyone with 25 or more points drew. The one remaining permit was drawn at random: an estimated <0.1% chance at 0 points, rising to 2.2% at 24 points.

Sure draw at 25+ points

Nonresidents
0
applicants
0
permits
—
applicants per permit

No nonresidents applied for this hunt.

Compare every deer hunt at your point level →

Odds by bonus points

Residents

Bonus pointsApplicantsDrewActual oddsEstimated chance
25111 in 1.0
100%
2420—
2.2%
23211 in 2.0
2.1%
2110—
1.9%
2030—
1.8%
1950—
1.7%
1860—
1.7%
1730—
1.6%
1660—
1.5%
1570—
1.4%
1460—
1.3%
1330—
1.2%
1240—
1.1%
1110—
1.0%
1030—
0.96%
930—
0.87%
860—
0.78%
760—
0.70%
610—
0.61%
530—
0.52%
4100—
0.43%
320—
0.35%
280—
0.26%
150—
0.17%
080—
<0.1%
All10521 in 52.5

Nonresidents

No applicants in this group.

Drew through the bonus pool (everyone at this level)Random draw

Trends, 2023–2025

"Sure at" is the fewest bonus points where every applicant drew through the bonus pool that year.

Residents
YearApplicantsPermitsOddsSure at
20239221 in 46.0—
202412621 in 63.025
202510521 in 52.525

Points for a sure draw: 25 in 2024, 25 in 2025. The bar has held steady; about 25 points should still be enough in 2026. Applicants rose 14% since 2023.

How this draw works

Utah reserves half of each hunt's permits for the applicants with the most bonus points. The rest are drawn at random from everyone left, and each bonus point gives you one extra random number; your best number is the one used. Drawing a permit resets your points for that species to zero. Utah DWR's explanation.

About the estimated chance. Actual odds at a single point level jump around because only a few permits are drawn at random. The estimate applies the draw's own rules to this year's applicant pool. Across all 2025 Utah hunts, it predicts the number of permits drawn at each point range to within about 1%. Applicant numbers change every year, so treat it as a guide. How we check and estimate.

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