Unit 88 buck pronghorn, 1st rifle season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
562 adult residents put this hunt first; 38 drew (6.8%). Drawn out at 7 preference points: 19 of 31 applicants with 7 drew. 90% of applicants with more points drew.
Drawn out at 7 points
65 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 12 drew (18%). Drawn out at 7 preference points: 5 of 10 applicants with 7 drew.
Drawn out at 7 points
Compare every Colorado pronghorn hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 15 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 8 | 7 | 6 | 1 in 1.2 | |
| 7 | 31 | 19 | 1 in 1.6 | |
| 6 | 80 | 0 | — | |
| 5 | 74 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 73 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 70 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 58 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 76 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 79 | 0 | — | |
| All | 562 | 38 | 1 in 14.8 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 1 in 2.0 | |
| 6 | 12 | 0 | — | |
| 5 | 8 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 8 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 6 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 5 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 9 | 0 | — | |
| All | 65 | 12 | 1 in 5.4 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 664 | 76 | 1 in 8.7 | 5 |
| 2025 | 545 | 44 | 1 in 12.4 | 6 |
| 2026 | 562 | 38 | 1 in 14.8 | 7 |
Drawn out at: 5 in 2024, 6 in 2025, 7 in 2026. The bar is rising at least one point a year, as fast as applicants earn points. Applicants fell 15% since 2024.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 67 | 18 | 1 in 3.7 | 5 |
| 2025 | 74 | 13 | 1 in 5.7 | 6 |
| 2026 | 65 | 12 | 1 in 5.4 | 7 |
Drawn out at: 5 in 2024, 6 in 2025, 7 in 2026. The bar is rising at least one point a year, as fast as applicants earn points.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. Nonresidents could get at most 25% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 88
- Buck pronghorn, archery season AM088O1A · 46 applicants
- Buck pronghorn, 2nd rifle season AM088O2R · 121 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, 1st rifle season AF088O1R · 100 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, private land only, season 1, rifle AF088P1R · 21 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, private land only, season 5, rifle AF088P5R · 50 applicants
- Buck deer, late season, rifle DM088L1R · 52 applicants
- Buck deer, 1st rifle season DM088O1R · 33 applicants
- Doe deer, late season, rifle DF088L1R · 9 applicants
- Doe deer, 1st rifle season DF088O1R · 12 applicants