Unit 12 buck pronghorn, 1st rifle season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
105 adult residents put this hunt first; 7 drew (6.7%). Drawn out at 11 preference points: 1 of 7 applicants with 11 drew. 1 drew below the cutoff, through the hybrid random draw (about 1.9% of eligible applicants with 5+ points).
Drawn out at 11 points
21 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 1 drew (4.8%). Drawn out at 13 preference points: 1 of 1 applicants with 13 drew.
Drawn out at 13 points
Compare every Colorado pronghorn hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 in 7.0 | |
| 10 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 in 3.0 | |
| 8 | 11 | 0 | — | |
| 7 | 9 | 0 | — | |
| 6 | 7 | 0 | — | |
| 5 | 19 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 9 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 10 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 9 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 9 | 0 | — | |
| All | 105 | 7 | 1 in 15.0 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 12 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 10 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 9 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 8 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 6 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 5 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| All | 21 | 1 | 1 in 21.0 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 94 | 7 | 1 in 13.4 | 11 |
| 2025 | 109 | 7 | 1 in 15.6 | 12 |
| 2026 | 105 | 7 | 1 in 15.0 | 11 |
Drawn out at: 11 in 2024, 12 in 2025, 11 in 2026. The bar has held steady at about 11 points. Applicants rose 12% since 2024.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12 | 1 | 1 in 12.0 | 17 |
| 2025 | 15 | 1 | 1 in 15.0 | 13 |
| 2026 | 21 | 1 | 1 in 21.0 | 13 |
Drawn out at: 17 in 2024, 13 in 2025, 13 in 2026. The bar has been falling. Applicants rose 75% since 2024.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. This hunt also has a hybrid draw: up to 20% of licenses go at random to applicants with 5 or more points who fall below the cutoff. Nonresidents could get at most 20% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 12
- Buck pronghorn, archery season AM012O1A · 8 applicants
- Buck pronghorn, muzzleloader season AM012O1M · 10 applicants
- Buck pronghorn, private land only, season 5, rifle AM012P5R · 12 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, 1st rifle season AF012O1R · 22 applicants
- Buck deer, early season, rifle DM012E1R · 72 applicants
- Buck deer, muzzleloader season DM012O1M · 35 applicants
- Buck deer, 2nd rifle season DM012O2R · 269 applicants
- Buck deer, 3rd rifle season DM012O3R · 213 applicants
- Buck deer, 4th rifle season DM012O4R · 65 applicants
- Doe deer, muzzleloader season DF012O1M · 19 applicants
- Doe deer, 2nd rifle season DF012O2R · 76 applicants
- Doe deer, 3rd rifle season DF012O3R · 49 applicants