Unit 6 buck pronghorn, muzzleloader season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
224 adult residents put this hunt first; 30 drew (13%). Drawn out at 9 preference points: 9 of 10 applicants with 9 drew. 91% of applicants with more points drew.
Drawn out at 9 points
55 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 7 drew (13%). Drawn out at 9 preference points: 2 of 5 applicants with 9 drew.
Drawn out at 9 points
Compare every Colorado pronghorn hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 12 | 5 | 5 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 in 1.5 | |
| 10 | 9 | 9 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 9 | 10 | 9 | 1 in 1.1 | |
| 8 | 31 | 0 | — | |
| 7 | 26 | 0 | — | |
| 6 | 22 | 0 | — | |
| 5 | 25 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 21 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 14 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 21 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 21 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 10 | 0 | — | |
| All | 224 | 30 | 1 in 7.5 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 in 2.5 | |
| 8 | 12 | 0 | — | |
| 7 | 9 | 0 | — | |
| 6 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 5 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 5 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| All | 55 | 7 | 1 in 7.9 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 133 | 33 | 1 in 4.0 | 6 |
| 2025 | 178 | 30 | 1 in 5.9 | 8 |
| 2026 | 224 | 30 | 1 in 7.5 | 9 |
Drawn out at: 6 in 2024, 8 in 2025, 9 in 2026. The bar is rising at least one point a year, as fast as applicants earn points. Applicants rose 68% since 2024.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | 4 | 1 in 6.3 | 18 |
| 2025 | 38 | 7 | 1 in 5.4 | 10 |
| 2026 | 55 | 7 | 1 in 7.9 | 9 |
Drawn out at: 18 in 2024, 10 in 2025, 9 in 2026. The bar has been falling. Applicants rose 120% since 2024.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. Nonresidents could get at most 20% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 6
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- Doe pronghorn, muzzleloader season AF006O1M · 91 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, 1st rifle season AF006O1R · 95 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, 2nd rifle season AF006O2R · 340 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, Ranching for Wildlife, season 1, rifle AF006W1R · 58 applicants
- Either-sex pronghorn, Ranching for Wildlife, season 1, rifle AE006W1R · 141 applicants
- Buck deer, early season, rifle DM006E1R · 50 applicants
- Buck deer, early season, rifle DM006E2R · 72 applicants
- Buck deer, muzzleloader season DM006O1M · 157 applicants
- Buck deer, 1st rifle season DM006O1R · 95 applicants