Unit 1 doe pronghorn, muzzleloader season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
12 adult residents put this hunt first; 7 drew (58%). Drawn out at 1 preference point: 1 of 2 applicants with 1 drew. 75% of applicants with more points drew.
Drawn out at 1 points
No adult nonresidents put this hunt as their first choice.
Compare every Colorado pronghorn hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 in 2.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 in 2.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| All | 12 | 7 | 1 in 1.7 |
Nonresidents
No applicants in this group.
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4 | 4 | 1 in 1.0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 13 | 4 | 1 in 3.3 | 4 |
| 2026 | 12 | 7 | 1 in 1.7 | 1 |
Drawn out at: 0 in 2024, 4 in 2025, 1 in 2026. If that trend holds, expect about 2 points to be needed in 2027. Applicants rose 200% since 2024.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. Nonresidents could get at most 25% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 1
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- Buck deer, archery season DM001O1A · 13 applicants
- Buck deer, muzzleloader season DM001O1M · 5 applicants
- Buck deer, 2nd rifle season DM001O2R · 26 applicants
- Buck deer, 3rd rifle season DM001O3R · 28 applicants
- Bull elk, muzzleloader season EM001O1M · 35 applicants
- Cow elk, late season, rifle EF001L1R · 15 applicants
- Cow elk, 2nd rifle season EF001O2R · 3 applicants
- Cow elk, private land only, season 5, rifle EF001P5R · 2 applicants
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- Either-sex elk, archery season EE001O1A · 46 applicants