Unit 80 bull elk, muzzleloader season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
167 adult residents put this hunt first; 76 drew (46%). Drawn out at 1 preference point: 45 of 73 applicants with 1 drew.
Drawn out at 1 points
221 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 28 drew (13%). Drawn out at 6 preference points: 11 of 20 applicants with 6 drew. 77% of applicants with more points drew.
Drawn out at 6 points
Compare every Colorado elk hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 2 | 21 | 21 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 1 | 73 | 45 | 1 in 1.6 | |
| 0 | 63 | 0 | — | |
| All | 167 | 76 | 1 in 2.2 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 11 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 in 2.0 | |
| 7 | 12 | 9 | 1 in 1.3 | |
| 6 | 20 | 11 | 1 in 1.8 | |
| 5 | 19 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 20 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 29 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 26 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 30 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 55 | 0 | — | |
| All | 221 | 28 | 1 in 7.9 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 172 | 83 | 1 in 2.1 | 1 |
| 2025 | 175 | 82 | 1 in 2.1 | 1 |
| 2026 | 167 | 76 | 1 in 2.2 | 1 |
Drawn out at: 1 in 2024, 1 in 2025, 1 in 2026. The bar has held steady at about 1 points.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 216 | 28 | 1 in 7.7 | 4 |
| 2025 | 233 | 28 | 1 in 8.3 | 6 |
| 2026 | 221 | 28 | 1 in 7.9 | 6 |
Drawn out at: 4 in 2024, 6 in 2025, 6 in 2026. The bar is rising at least one point a year, as fast as applicants earn points.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. Nonresidents could get at most 25% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 80
- Bull elk, 1st rifle season EM080O1R · 707 applicants
- Bull elk, 4th rifle season EM080O4R · 72 applicants
- Cow elk, muzzleloader season EF080O1M · 71 applicants
- Cow elk, 2nd rifle season EF080O2R · 140 applicants
- Cow elk, 3rd rifle season EF080O3R · 130 applicants
- Cow elk, 4th rifle season EF080O4R · 59 applicants
- Cow elk, private land only, season 5, rifle EF080P5R · 30 applicants
- Either-sex elk, archery season EE080O1A · 458 applicants
- Buck deer, archery season DM080O1A · 277 applicants
- Buck deer, muzzleloader season DM080O1M · 182 applicants
- Buck deer, 2nd rifle season DM080O2R · 675 applicants
- Buck deer, 3rd rifle season DM080O3R · 644 applicants