Unit 551 cow elk, 1st rifle season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
66 adult residents put this hunt first; 52 drew (79%). Drawn out at 0 preference points: 35 of 44 applicants with 0 drew. 77% of applicants with more points drew.
Any points drew
13 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 5 drew (38%). Drawn out at 0 preference points: 2 of 3 applicants with 0 drew. 30% of applicants with more points drew.
Any points drew
Compare every Colorado elk hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 1 | 20 | 15 | 1 in 1.3 | |
| 0 | 44 | 35 | 1 in 1.3 | |
| All | 66 | 52 | 1 in 1.3 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 in 3.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 in 4.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 in 2.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 in 1.5 | |
| All | 13 | 5 | 1 in 2.6 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 67 | 41 | 1 in 1.6 | 0 |
| 2025 | 67 | 43 | 1 in 1.6 | 0 |
| 2026 | 66 | 52 | 1 in 1.3 | 0 |
Drawn out at: 0 in 2024, 0 in 2025, 0 in 2026. The bar has held steady at about 0 points.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 7 | 1 in 2.4 | 2 |
| 2025 | 15 | 6 | 1 in 2.5 | 1 |
| 2026 | 13 | 5 | 1 in 2.6 | 0 |
Drawn out at: 2 in 2024, 1 in 2025, 0 in 2026. The bar has been falling. Applicants fell 24% since 2024.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. Nonresidents could get at most 25% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 551
- Bull elk, muzzleloader season EM551O1M · 49 applicants
- Bull elk, 1st rifle season EM551O1R · 94 applicants
- Bull elk, 2nd rifle season EM551O2R · 75 applicants
- Bull elk, 3rd rifle season EM551O3R · 56 applicants
- Bull elk, 4th rifle season EM551O4R · 26 applicants
- Cow elk, muzzleloader season EF551O1M · 31 applicants
- Cow elk, 2nd rifle season EF551O2R · 136 applicants
- Cow elk, 3rd rifle season EF551O3R · 117 applicants
- Cow elk, 4th rifle season EF551O4R · 15 applicants
- Either-sex elk, archery season EE551O1A · 176 applicants
- Buck deer, archery season DM551O1A · 77 applicants
- Buck deer, muzzleloader season DM551O1M · 55 applicants