Unit 201 buck deer, muzzleloader season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
21 adult residents put this hunt first; 8 drew (38%). Drawn out at 3 preference points: 1 of 4 applicants with 3 drew.
Drawn out at 3 points
10 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 2 drew (20%). Drawn out at 6 preference points: 1 of 2 applicants with 6 drew.
Drawn out at 6 points
Compare every Colorado deer hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 in 4.0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| All | 21 | 8 | 1 in 2.6 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 in 2.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| All | 10 | 2 | 1 in 5.0 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | 7 | 1 in 3.0 | 6 |
| 2025 | 26 | 7 | 1 in 3.7 | 8 |
| 2026 | 21 | 8 | 1 in 2.6 | 3 |
Drawn out at: 6 in 2024, 8 in 2025, 3 in 2026. The bar has been falling.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10 | 1 | 1 in 10.0 | 19 |
| 2025 | 8 | 1 | 1 in 8.0 | 19 |
| 2026 | 10 | 2 | 1 in 5.0 | 6 |
Drawn out at: 19 in 2024, 19 in 2025, 6 in 2026. The bar has been falling.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. Nonresidents could get at most 20% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 201
- Buck deer, archery season DM201O1A · 36 applicants
- Buck deer, 2nd rifle season DM201O2R · 111 applicants
- Buck deer, 3rd rifle season DM201O3R · 77 applicants
- Buck deer, 4th rifle season DM201O4R · 89 applicants
- Bull elk, muzzleloader season EM201O1M · 152 applicants
- Cow elk, muzzleloader season EF201O1M · 8 applicants
- Cow elk, 1st rifle season EF201O1R · 32 applicants
- Cow elk, 2nd rifle season EF201O2R · 61 applicants
- Cow elk, 3rd rifle season EF201O3R · 38 applicants
- Cow elk, 4th rifle season EF201O4R · 22 applicants
- Either-sex elk, early season, rifle EE201E1R · 1,106 applicants
- Either-sex elk, archery season EE201O1A · 291 applicants