Unit 41 buck deer, 4th rifle season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
311 adult residents put this hunt first; 82 drew (26%). Drawn out at 2 preference points: 31 of 69 applicants with 2 drew.
Drawn out at 2 points
134 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 30 drew (22%). Drawn out at 4 preference points: 11 of 16 applicants with 4 drew. 95% of applicants with more points drew.
Drawn out at 4 points
Compare every Colorado deer hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 4 | 11 | 11 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 3 | 31 | 31 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 2 | 69 | 31 | 1 in 2.2 | |
| 1 | 80 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 111 | 0 | — | |
| All | 311 | 82 | 1 in 3.8 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 in 1.2 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 4 | 16 | 11 | 1 in 1.5 | |
| 3 | 20 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 16 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 28 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 34 | 0 | — | |
| All | 134 | 30 | 1 in 4.5 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 356 | 55 | 1 in 6.5 | 2 |
| 2025 | 249 | 74 | 1 in 3.4 | 2 |
| 2026 | 311 | 82 | 1 in 3.8 | 2 |
Drawn out at: 2 in 2024, 2 in 2025, 2 in 2026. The bar has held steady at about 2 points. Applicants fell 13% since 2024.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 102 | 20 | 1 in 5.1 | 4 |
| 2025 | 92 | 27 | 1 in 3.4 | 2 |
| 2026 | 134 | 30 | 1 in 4.5 | 4 |
Drawn out at: 4 in 2024, 2 in 2025, 4 in 2026. The bar has held steady at about 4 points. Applicants rose 31% since 2024.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. Nonresidents could get at most 25% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 41
- Buck deer, muzzleloader season DM041O1M · 179 applicants
- Buck deer, 2nd rifle season DM041O2R · 575 applicants
- Buck deer, 3rd rifle season DM041O3R · 664 applicants
- Buck deer, private land only, season 2, rifle DM041P2R · 70 applicants
- Buck deer, private land only, season 3, rifle DM041P3R · 114 applicants
- Doe deer, muzzleloader season DF041O1M · 30 applicants
- Doe deer, 2nd rifle season DF041O2R · 106 applicants
- Doe deer, 3rd rifle season DF041O3R · 78 applicants
- Either-sex deer, archery season DE041O1A · 340 applicants
- Either-sex deer, private land only, season 5, archery DE041P5A · 31 applicants
- Bull elk, muzzleloader season EM041O1M · 214 applicants
- Bull elk, 1st rifle season EM041O1R · 285 applicants