Unit 441 either-sex deer, Ranching for Wildlife, season 1
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
30 adult residents put this hunt first; 2 drew (6.7%). Drawn out at 17 preference points: 1 of 2 applicants with 17 drew.
Drawn out at 17 points
No adult nonresidents put this hunt as their first choice.
Compare every Colorado deer hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 in 2.0 | |
| 16 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 15 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 9 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 8 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 7 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 6 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 5 | 0 | — | |
| All | 30 | 2 | 1 in 15.0 |
Nonresidents
No applicants in this group.
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12 | 1 | 1 in 12.0 | 19 |
| 2025 | 19 | 2 | 1 in 9.5 | 18 |
| 2026 | 30 | 2 | 1 in 15.0 | 17 |
Drawn out at: 19 in 2024, 18 in 2025, 17 in 2026. The bar has been falling. Applicants rose 150% since 2024.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. This hunt also has a hybrid draw: up to 20% of licenses go at random to applicants with 5 or more points who fall below the cutoff. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 441
- Doe deer, Ranching for Wildlife, season 1, rifle DF441W1R · 11 applicants
- Cow elk, Ranching for Wildlife, season 1, rifle EF441W1R · 22 applicants
- Cow elk, Ranching for Wildlife, season 2, rifle EF441W2R · 9 applicants
- Cow elk, Ranching for Wildlife, season 3, rifle EF441W3R · 11 applicants
- Either-sex elk, Ranching for Wildlife, season 1, rifle EE441W1R · 60 applicants
- Buck pronghorn, Ranching for Wildlife, season 1, rifle AM441W1R · 55 applicants